The prediction of deep coal mining based on grey prediction
Abstract
With increasing coal mining depth, the likelihood of rock bursts has significantly risen, posing a major threat to coal mine safety in China. This paper aims to develop classification and prediction models to identify and predict rock burst precursor signals, thereby mitigating this hazard in deep mining. Using acoustic emission (AE) and electromagnetic radiation (EMR) data, we extracted time-frequency domain features and constructed decision tree and grey prediction models with a sliding window approach. For interference signal identification, we analyzed class C signals, determining their mean, kurtosis, and spectral peak values. For predicting class B signal trends, similar features were used to construct a decision tree model, which successfully identified precursor signals. The model demonstrated excellent classification performance in ROC curve tests. This research provides a scientific basis for preventing and controlling rock bursts, reducing engineering efforts, and enhancing coal mine safety.
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